The United States will sponsor a Middle East peace conference next week in the hopes that it could resolve what former President Bill Clinton failed to achieve with all his trips to Camp David. I never thought a day will come in the Middle East peace talks, and no one mentions Yasser Arafat. That tells you how long I have been around.
The peace talks will be the first stern effort to resurrect Israeli-Palestinian talks in seven years; and discerning people still question how high the stakes are on either side to accomplish anything ‘meaningful’. Personally, anything on the path to a permanent peace in the region is good news, but how probable this really is to change anything, your guess is as good as mine.
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is trying to use the last year in office of the Bush administration to create a Palestinian state settle a conflict that started around a century ago. Good luck Condi. Saudi Arabia and the Arab League states will send their delegates to make a deal, if anything economically, politically or historically sound is thrown around in Annapolis. Pardon my skeptism, but names like ‘conference’, ‘summit’ or even ‘peace talks’ have come to signify days of meaningless conversations and fruitless pacts leading to no where. God knows how many presidents have attempted to fix the Middle Easter glitch, but to no avail. Lets face it, stakes are high this time, but expectations are relatively low, not surprising though.My buddy Joe(the vegetarian) will say, ‘if you want to be right about the Middle East, it usually pays to be pessimistic.’
Israelis and Palestinians have many differences to iron out, the biggest of them being the so-called "final status issues". They include the futures of Jerusalem, Jewish settlements and Palestinian refugees, as well as borders, security and relations with their neighbors. Both sides will bring their ‘A’ game but I am afraid that the same factors that control any other negotiation turf will stall the progress that could be achieved in Annapolis. The considerations, conditions, concessions and the agreements will all hinge on some weird gambits. I will love to be the fly on the wall to listen to opening statements from either side. However (and this is a big however) it looks like the only way to stop more generations of bloodshed is to set up a Palestinian state alongside Israel. Then there will be a country called Palestine in the near future, and Israel will have to deal with a any margin of security it can harvest. But that is a big problem;- imagine United States telling the world that we will mind our own business even in the face of global tensions and threats against our security;- not in this lifetime.
Talk is always the cheapest of all, but for this peace process to work, someone will have to win, and the other side will have to lose;- and that is the other problem. For instance, Israel would have to leave most of the land it has occupied in the West Bank since the 1967 Middle East war. And I hate to burst Condoleezza’s bubble, but that is not happening anytime soon. Palestinians will have to accept that the vast majority of the refugees who lost their homes when Israel was created in 1948 are not going to get them back. Israelis who believe that the entire land between the Dead Sea, the river Jordan and the Mediterranean is Jewish land, vital to their security and given by God, are going to have to give up their dreams too.
Of course the concessions and conditions are much more complicated than I make it sound, but the bottom-line is something is got to give. This is not Vegas, and whatever happens in Annapolis, cannot stay in Annapolis. All we can do is to give peace a chance. . . Just a thought.










































